Droughts often have political consequences. So the current El Nino which has caused high temperatures and low rainfall through much of Southeast Asia could well have consequences soon. Much depends on whether the rains this summer are normal in terms of timing and amount but meanwhile many are suffering. The El Nino is slowly weakening according to climate scientists but could continue through April and delay the onset of the summer monsoon. Whether it is followed by normal conditions or the reversal, the La Nina, which brings heavier than normal rains, is unsure.