Asia Sentinel

Asia Sentinel

Defense/Security

Taiwan’s Probable Risk Scenario Shifts to Potential Blitzkrieg

Shock and awe across the Strait rather than blockade

Jan 14, 2026
∙ Paid
By: Jens Kastner
Photo by Annabelle Chih / Getty Images

Although the bulk of Taiwan observers wargaming Beijing’s takeover of Taiwan tend to see a naval blockade choking it into negotiations for annexation as the most probable course, the latest developments in Latin America are raising the odds for a more violent approach even though Chinese success is n…

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