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Written by Our Correspondent   
Tuesday, 10 November 2009
ImageThaksin needles the government and a fugitive financier is returned

The government of Thai Prime Minister Abhisit Vejjajiva and his Democrat Party are being battered by a series of events including the visit to Phnom Penh this week by Thaksin Shinawatra, the leader ousted in a 2006 coup, and a wide-ranging interview that Thaksin gave in Dubai to the Times of London in which, among other things, he accused the Privy Council surrounding King Bhumibol Adulyadej of manipulating the monarch.

Also the extradition of disgraced financier Rakesh Saxena, 57, who had staged the longest battle in Canadian history to avoid being sent back to Thailand to face charges he had helped to embezzle tens of millions of dollars in phony bank loans in 1996, now injects a volatile new set of issues into Thailand's shaky political agenda.

How much damage the political contest has caused is uncertain. Nomura Global Economics reported in late October that: "The Thai economy contracted the most among Asean countries in 2Q09 in year-on-year terms, driven by a decline in exports (-21.8%) and gross fixed capital formation (-10.1%)" and that "political uncertainty has delayed a recovery in consumption and investment."

The Thaksin interview, a long series of self-justifications which can be found here, has outraged government officials at a time when Abhisit is scheduled to be at the Asia-Pacific Economic Cooperation summit in Singapore and meet with US President Barack Obama. It can also be expected to drive the royalists in the People's Alliance for Democracy, which twice brought down governments aligned with Thaksin, into new demonstrations over Thaksin's supposed disloyalty and meddling by Cambodian Prime Minister Hun Sen in Thai affairs by offering Thaksin a position as his "economic adviser."

Saxena arrived last Friday, bundled in blankets in a wheelchair and said to be suffering from a stroke that had partly paralyzed him. He was immediately whisked away to Thailand's Crime Suppression Bureau. Prior to his flight from Thailand, he was said to be close to Newin Chidchob, the Northern Thailand politician whose defection along with those of 16 of his followers from the Thaksin delivered Abhisit Vejjajiva and the Democrat Party to power.

The supporters of the billionaire fugitive Thaksin have been clamoring for Saxena's extradition for months on the theory that bringing him back could put the Democrat-led majority coalition in danger. Along with Newin, several other politicians in his camp, including Suchart Tancharoen and Pairoj Suwanchawee, have been identified as making money from the fraud perpetrated by Saxena. Prior to his extradition from Vancouver, BC, Saxena said he feared for his life. He later said had a full list of the politicians, some now in the cabinet, who were involved in the scandal that sent him in flight. The Democrats have assured the press that he is under 24-hour guard in Bangkok.

For his part, Abhisit has pledged cooperation with the authorities, telling reporters that "Everyone is obliged to supply information even though such information may harm the cliques within the government because we have to uphold the national interest."

Although the Democrats were in opposition and led the censure debate over the Bank of Commerce scandal, the support of Newin's so-called Group of 16 was instrumental in delivering Abhisit and the Democrats to the shaky hold on power that they have enjoyed for the last several months. Many of Newin's allies are now scattered throughout the unwieldy 35-member Thai cabinet.

Over the last week, Cambodian Prime Minister Hun Sen added to the uncertainty by offering to employ Thaksin Shinawatra as an "economics advisor," perhaps in retaliation for PAD anti-Cambodian activity at the Preah Vihear temple since 2008. Both countries have recalled their respective ambassadors over the affair. Despite the political setbacks, the absent Thaksin probably remains the second-most popular figure after the ailing king.

Saxena's return, given his role in the linchpin of the scandal, couldn't be more inconvenient for Abhisit. It was Saxena's role as treasurer advisor to the Bangkok Bank of Commerce, whose collapse with US$3 billion in debt in 1996 was one of the contributing factors to the devaluation of the Thai baht and ultimately the Asian Financial Crisis of 1997-1998. He was charged with looting US$88 million through establishing a series of phony loans through the bank. According to media reports, he and his team identified moribund companies, pumped up their balance sheets while looting the assets and firing staff, then sold them to unsuspecting shareholders. Among the companies targeted as takeover objects were Morakot Industries, Jalaprathan Cement, Semiconductor Venture International and Phoenix Pulp and Paper.

In July of 1995, according to reports, he transferred more than US$80 million out of Thailand in defiance of banking regulations and, shortly after that, followed the money out to Canada.

The financier ultimately washed up in British Columbia, where his extradition hearing was the longest in Canadian history. Even after the presiding judge ruled there were grounds to extradite him, it took the federal justice minister more than three years to order his return to Thailand.

The return of Saxena -- who has been implicated in a series of dubious stock schemes and a counter-coup in Sierra Leone while under house arrest in Vancouver, comes at an extremely sensitive time for Thailand, with Bhumibol increasingly infirm. The 81-year-old monarch last week returned to the public eye after more than a month in hospital, more frail than ever and with the royal succession in doubt although the official line is that the king's son, Maha Vajiralongkorn, will get the job. Vajiralongkorn is deeply unpopular and it is possible that the royal family could be be in the hands of a regency run by the privy council and the queen, Sirikit.

Abhisit, in Singapore this week for the APEC conference, and his Democrats are beset on one side by the pro-Thaksin Red Shirts, who have now formed the Phieu Thai Party, and the anti-Thaksin Yellow Shirts, who are establishing a royalist party of their own, the New Politics Party which was formed in July.

There appears to be considerable behind-the-scenes agitation to pardon Thaksin, perhaps in exchange for his forsaking political activity in exchange for the restoration of his billion-dollar telecommunications fortune and a promise to forsake politics.  The events of this week, with Thaksin in Cambodia, probably cooled that off. Whatever happens, Saxena's return adds yet another explosive to the volatile mixture that is Thai politics.
Comments (10)add
THAI ARMY
written by KRATHING DAENG , January 31, 2010
It is in evident that the Thai Military Boss is found to be a homosexual and he promoted a bunch of gays in the commanding post, also the privy council president Prem is a homosexual, no wonder, everything is doomed.
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...
written by jj , January 16, 2010
In case you hav'nt noticed, Thailand went downhill right after the coup.
The team yellow will do anything to protect the monarchy.
Selfish pricks.

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Premocrazy
written by Red Shirts , December 08, 2009
Unfortunately, people can see clearly that only Thaksin has paid attention to the
plight of the rural poor and when this turns into massive support for him, the elites
are scared and tried hard to bring him down.
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Votes: +1
Thaksin doesn't get that he is a master of none
written by atticus , November 16, 2009
Having a few barefoot peasants as supporters of his private jet set lifestyle is hardly something to claim power over. The peasants are revolting, they sell their children into protituion, they, vote for a billionaire who made his money through theft and corruption and the silly towelheads in the UAE think he is a great guy because he doesn't fly commercial.
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Thaksin
written by Krathing Daeng , November 15, 2009
Well, the military has taken their revenges against the civil government that is to say its a cycle of revenges. Now I would believe that Taksin has been bullied any way, he's a billionair and who on Earth will walk away without getting their hard earned money back (2 billion USD). Who is behind all these, we all know but sometimes Thai poeple are stupid enough to let these things happened and drag on for generations.
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Which part of it is objectionable?
written by mutabi , November 13, 2009
@Johnster

I've read the entire transcript. Could you tell me which part of it is offensive? I didn't see any.
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Thaksin employs moronic spin doctors
written by Johnster , November 12, 2009
Thaksin is known to spend a fortune on his spin doctors but the lowlifes who advised him and no doubt set up the interview with The Times could not have bargained on the convicted felon's lack of English comprehension and his arrogant belief that he can control world media like he used to harass his media critics at home. The spin doctors are morons who clearly don't know their media and also have not a clue about Thailand. The Times was brilliant in its response, by posting the entire interview for all to read Thaksin's ill-advised blatherings. The words "yes, yes" were the shortest cuicide note ever written.
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Where do you get this stuff?
written by John Francis Lee , November 10, 2009
' ...with the royal succession in doubt although the official line is that the king's son, Maha Vajiralongkorn, will get the job. Vajiralongkorn is deeply unpopular and it is possible that the royal family could be be in the hands of a regency run by the privy council and the queen, Sirikit... '

Where do you get this stuff?
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Amazing Thailand
written by TJLaos , November 10, 2009
It's really Amazing Thailand.

1) The main job of current Thai Gov't is to catch Thaksin instead of improving economy and its people's well-being.

2) An adviser is to advise some ideas. It's not a big deal but why Thai Gov't has made it so BIG.

3) If Thais dont like Thaksin, you just stop talking about him. That's so SIMPLE.

3) According to news around, it seems to have links to those in HIGHER UP.

4) My thai friends have fever. They said it was because of Thaksin. How can they sue him?
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Yellow Shirts
written by Sirikit , November 10, 2009
Thailand needs the Royalists to be more responsive to the needs of the majority of the rural poors instead of sending Yellow Shirt thugs to airports to shutdown elected government.
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